NQ Edge+ — Systematic NQ futures

Stop guessing on NQ.
Start trading with 2,373 documented trades behind every signal.

Systematic NQ futures strategy. PF 1.45 across 16 years. 14 consecutive positive years (2012–2025). Verify it yourself on TradingView.

$648,842 per NQ contract
$62,692 per MNQ contract
16-year cumulative profit · 69% less drawdown than buy-and-hold
See the 16-year track record

14-day free trial. Cancel anytime.

2,373 Trades
1.453 Profit Factor
15 / 16 Positive Years
New to futures? What these terms mean →
tradingview.com — NQ1! · 15m · NQ Edge+
NASDAQ 100 · NQ1! · 15m 24,842.50 +127.25 (+0.51%)
ACTIVE TRADE
16-yr PF 1.453

Watch the Strategy in action.

Daniel Frank — founder, SaneSignals. Entrepreneur since 2013, running businesses across affiliate marketing, prop trading, and algorithmic development. Trading since 2017, building systematic NQ strategies since 2023. Active prop firm trader with $28,000+ in payouts in a single month. Building systematic trading tools because he trades them himself. Based in Bulgaria.

What NQ Edge+ is.

A rule-based systematic strategy and probability indicator for NQ futures traders. No discretion. No Discord. No black box.

Instrument
NQ / MNQ (Nasdaq 100 futures)
Direction
Long only
Timeframe
15-minute chart
Signals / mo
~12 on average
Avg hold
22 hours
Delivery
TradingView Pine (invite-only)

NQ Edge+ is a rule-based strategy that enters long positions when specific momentum, volatility, and market-structure conditions align. It exits when statistical targets are reached or risk thresholds are hit. ~12 signals per month. Average hold 22 hours. It can go days without a signal — inactivity is by design, not a bug.

Futures trading uses leverage. A single MNQ contract gives you Nasdaq exposure at $2 per point. NQ is $20 per point. The same signals work on both — your position size determines your risk. Use the calculator below to find the right sizing for your account.

$648,842 profit per contract.
Nothing hidden.

Three strategy variants. Same underlying entry logic. The scaling variants add a second contract to winning trades after confirmation — giving more exposure to winners without adding entries.

All figures are per single NQ contract. This is leverage-independent — the dollar P&L is the same regardless of account size. For MNQ ($2/pt), divide all dollar figures by 10. Percentage returns depend on account size — use the calculator for your specific scenario.
Base
Conservative
Profit per contract
$648,842
Max drawdown−$36,846
Profit / DD17.6×
Trades2,373
Win rate57.23%
Profit factor1.453
Positive years15 / 16
L2
Aggressive
Profit per contract
$1,251,170
Max drawdown−$67,889
Profit / DD18.4×
Trades4,553
Win rate58.47%
Profit factor1.463
Positive years15 / 16

All three variants included in every subscription. Choose one, switch between them, or run them in parallel on different accounts.

All figures: Jan 2010 – Sep 2026 (TradingView export of 2026-10-02). $3.40 commission per round trip. Zero slippage. Per single NQ contract ($20/pt). For MNQ ($2/pt), divide all dollar figures by 10. L1 and L2 add a second contract to winning trades after confirmation — TradingView counts each scale-in as a separate trade.

Every trade. Every drawdown. 16 years.

Strategy equity versus buy-and-hold. The vertical marker at October 2025 shows where the strategy rules were frozen (September 2025) — everything to the right is an out-of-sample backtest on data the rules never saw.

NQ Edge+ NQ Buy & Hold Rules frozen
2020 · COVID Crash Strategy full year: +$131k per contract · +$4,731 during the crash
2022 · Bear Market NQ B&H −$106k · Strategy +$59k per contract
Oct 2025 – Sep 2026 · Rules frozen Strategy +$41k (PF 1.15) — out-of-sample backtest
Hypothetical performance disclaimer. Results shown are backtested data (Jan 2010 – Sep 2026). The strategy rules were frozen in September 2025; results after that date are an out-of-sample backtest, not live trading. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. Hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. All performance figures include $3.40 round-trip commission and assume zero slippage. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Data from TradingView Strategy Tester. Load the strategy yourself to verify every trade.

Download the full trade log.

All 2,373 trades. Entry time, exit type, P&L, and MAE for every trade since 2010. Free. No fluff.

We'll email you the CSV. One email. No sequences.

What happens when Nasdaq drops?

Two moments that separated the strategy from buy-and-hold, and the last 12 months as they actually were.

2022 · Bear Market NQ fell 32% that year.
NQ buy-and-hold −$105,795
NQ Edge+ Base +$59,037
Difference +$164,832 in one year, per contract
Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 30, 2026 · Last 12 months After the rules were frozen (Sep 2025).
NQ Edge+ (Base) +$40,916
Trades · profit factor 138 · 1.15
Worst drawdown in the period −$34,997
A slow year out-of-sample backtest on data the rules never saw · updated quarterly

The strategy doesn't predict crashes. It participates selectively — and selective participation means you're not fully exposed when the market reverses.

See where your trade is likely to go — updated every bar.

The NQ Edge+ Cone Indicator projects 2,334 historical trades onto your active position in real time. It works on any timeframe — 15m for strategy alignment, or 5m/1m for scalping and intraday context.

Feature 01 · Probability zones

A visual map of where price typically travels during winning vs losing trades.

The expanding cone — green through yellow, orange, red — is built from 2,334 historical NQ trades. The shape shows the statistical spread of price action from entry. Updated every bar, so you see how your current position compares to history in real time.

NQ Edge+ Cone Indicator — probability zones expanding from entry with TP1/TP2/TP3 levels
Feature 02 · TP levels & hit rates

Where winners historically exit.

TP1 hit rate: 88% on high-confidence signals. See probability before you decide whether to take profit.

Active trade with 77% win rate, TP1 HIT, Confidence HIGH panel visible
Feature 03 · Active trade panel

Real-time dashboard on your chart.

Win rate, confidence level, profit zone, hard stop, emergency exit. Everything you need to manage the trade, in one panel — without leaving the chart.

Active trade panel showing win rate, confidence, profit zone, and hard stop
For discretionary NQ traders

The Cone works alongside your existing tools.

ICT concepts, volume profile, VWAP, market structure — the probability overlay adds statistical context without replacing your framework. See historical win rates and MAE zones overlaid on your own analysis.

NQ Edge+ Cone on 5m chart with ICT Concepts (LuxAlgo) overlay — fair value gaps, order blocks, liquidity levels

The indicator shows probability zones and statistical context. It does not expose entry/exit logic or strategy parameters.

The indicator works independently — ICT traders, prop firm traders, and anyone who trades NQ can use it with their existing strategy.

Explore the full indicator

Three steps. Your TradingView chart.

01
Subscribe & get invite access

Start the 14-day trial. We send TradingView invite access within minutes. No app to install, no API keys to configure.

02
Load on your NQ 15m chart

The strategy and Cone indicator load as Pine Script. Your chart, your broker connection, your rules.

03
Receive alerts. Execute.

TradingView alerts fire on signal entry and exit. The Cone shows you probability context in real time.

No black box. No Telegram group. No middleman. You see every signal, every probability zone, every trade.

When this strategy shines — and when it grinds.

2020 – 2025 contribution to strategy profit
~86%

Nasdaq had its strongest run in history — AI, cloud, post-COVID tech boom. The strategy captured roughly 86% of its 16-year dollar profit from that six-year window.

That's the design working as intended. In high-volatility trending regimes, the strategy compounds aggressively. In low-volatility chop, it preserves capital and grinds. The edge exists across all periods — the magnitude scales with market conditions. For context: roughly 65% of NQ's own total return since 2010 came from that same six-year window.

2011 – 2015 · Low-vol chop

Preservation mode

+$20,398
cumulative, per contract

Preserved capital. Modest gains. No year lost more than $1,158 per contract.

2020 – 2025 · High-vol trend

Compounding engine

+$559,980
cumulative, per contract

Aggressive gains in favorable conditions. This is where ~86% of the 16-year profit was made.

Technology-driven growth in Nasdaq isn't slowing down. But markets cycle, and another 2022 will happen. The year-by-year table below shows every regime since 2010.

Year-by-year performance (2010–2026)

Year Base P&L Cumulative Regime
2010+$7,299$7,299Bull
2011−$1,158$6,141Chop
2012+$5,268$11,409Chop
2013+$7,029$18,438Bull
2014+$3,242$21,680Chop
2015+$6,017$27,697Chop
2016+$9,594$37,291Bull
2017+$9,658$46,949Bull
2018+$5,890$52,839Bear
2019+$16,874$69,714Bull
2020+$131,327$201,040Bull
2021+$54,697$255,738Bull
2022+$59,037$314,775Bear
2023+$85,106$399,881Bull
2024+$78,572$478,453Bull
2025+$151,241$629,694Fwd
2026*+$19,148$648,842Fwd

* 2026 is partial (Jan–Jun). All values per single NQ contract ($20/pt). Figures are the verified TradingView trade export — 2,373 trades totaling $648,842, the same file you can download above. L1, L2, and NQ B&H annual breakdowns will be added in a future update.

Hypothetical performance disclaimer. Results shown are backtested data (Jan 2010 – Sep 2026). The strategy rules were frozen in September 2025; results after that date are an out-of-sample backtest, not live trading. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. Hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. All performance figures include $3.40 round-trip commission and assume zero slippage. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

What does this look like on YOUR account?

Every trader's account is different. Enter your capital and risk tolerance — the calculator shows exactly what NQ Edge+ performance looks like at your position size. Prop firm traders: switch to Prop Firm mode to check compatibility.

Run the numbers on your capital.

Enter your account size, risk per trade, and which variant you're trading. The calculator outputs your expected position size, 16-year return projection, and historical max drawdown — in both dollars and percentages.

Open Calculator

Enter your capital and risk tolerance to see your personalized results.

Sample outputs
$50K · 2% risk → 4 MNQ · $62K profit
$100K · 2% risk → 8 MNQ · $125K profit
$200K · 1% risk → 4 MNQ · $125K profit

Drawdown is the price of admission.
Here's what to expect.

Max drawdown · Base −$36,846

Per single NQ contract. The largest peak-to-trough decline across 16 years of backtesting.

Max drawdown · L1 −$72,488

The scaling variant takes deeper drawdowns in exchange for more exposure to winning trades.

Typical recovery 5–15 trades

Most drawdowns recover over the next 5 to 15 signals. Severe drawdowns take longer. None are instant.

The strategy is backtested on 1 NQ contract ($20/pt). MNQ (micro, $2/pt) divides the exposure by 10. Same signals, same timing, one-tenth the dollar risk per contract.

A $50,000 account at 2% risk per trade would run approximately 4 MNQ contracts. Historical max drawdown at that sizing: ~$14,456. Use the calculator for your exact scenario.

70–85% of retail futures accounts lose money (source: CFTC-mandated broker risk disclosures). A documented systematic edge doesn't guarantee profits — but it replaces guessing with a validated framework backed by 2,373 trades over 16 years.

Source: CFTC retail forex/futures trader profitability studies and broker disclosures.

Is this for you?

Three types of traders get the most from NQ Edge+. Here's who fits, and — just as honestly — who doesn't.

The Leveraged Trader

✓
For you if You trade NQ/MNQ futures and want a validated system instead of guessing. You accept leverage and understand that position sizing determines your risk.
✕
Not for you if You want guaranteed returns or can't tolerate any drawdown period.

The Systematic Investor

✓
For you if You want Nasdaq exposure with downside protection and are comfortable with futures as the vehicle. You understand percentage returns depend on your position size and leverage.
✕
Not for you if You want passive index exposure with zero leverage. NQ Edge+ uses futures — a different vehicle with different risk characteristics.

The ICT / Discretionary Trader

✓
For you if You trade NQ with your own framework — ICT, volume profile, price action — and want statistical context from 2,334 historical trades overlaid on your positions. Works on any timeframe.
✕
Not for you if You expect the indicator alone to generate entry signals. It shows probability — the full bundle adds entry/exit signals.

An honest note.

The strategy is not prop-firm compatible.

NQ Edge+ holds positions for an average of 22 hours. Most US futures prop firms require intraday flat. The strategy will trigger rule violations on most prop firm accounts regardless of sizing.

The Cone Indicator works independently — if you trade NQ on a prop firm with your own strategy, the probability overlay adds statistical context to your discretionary or intraday trades.

Check compatibility

How we built and validated this.

Every claim on this page is backed by documented methodology.

01 · Backtest

16 years, Jan 2010 – Sep 2026.

Full 26-year backtest also available (2000–2026) with honest disclosure of poor 2000–2002 performance (strategy applied to a pre-validated regime). The marketing period is the validated post-2010 regime.

02 · Commission

$3.40 round-trip per contract.

Included in every result shown on this page. Real brokerage commissions on CME NQ range from $2.00 to $5.00 round-trip depending on broker and volume. $3.40 is a realistic midpoint.

03 · Slippage

Zero assumed. Robust to real-world fills.

Industry standard for 15-minute bars on liquid futures. Of the strategy's exits, the majority are take-profit orders executed via limit at the signal close price — these experience zero slippage. Stop-loss exits are market orders and may slip. With conservative 0.50 pts slippage applied to all exits (both TP and SL), the strategy remains robustly profitable across the full 16-year period.

04 · Walk-forward

13 of 14 rolling windows profitable.

Strategy parameters were fixed across all 16 years — no year-specific optimization. Rolling window validation confirms the edge is not period-specific.

05 · Look-ahead audit

Causal contamination analysis passed.

Independent audit confirmed no future data was used in generating signals. The TradingView version you run is the verified, real-time version — validated against the Python research engine at the individual trade level.

06 · Monte Carlo + parity

Bootstrap-validated. TradingView-reconciled.

Bootstrap simulations validated drawdown distributions across randomized trade sequences. Python and Pine trade lists compared at individual trade level with timestamp correction. Acceptable parity confirmed.

Every number on this page is independently verifiable on TradingView with the same strategy file, same commission setting, same date range. If any figure on this page doesn't match the Strategy Tester, email us and we'll fix it.

Full transparency
Download the complete trade log
All 2,373 verified trades — entry time, exit time, price, P&L. CSV format. Check every number we claim. No TradingView account required.

What NQ Edge+ is not.

Not investment advice.
Not a managed account.
Not a guaranteed return.
Not a daily trading system.
Not compatible with most prop firms.
Not a Discord community.
Not a course.
Not a replacement for buy-and-hold at zero leverage.

It is a trading tool for leveraged NQ futures traders who want a validated system. Nothing more.

Two plans. No hidden fees. Cancel anytime.

Cone Indicator
Indicator only
$49$39 / month
  • Probability overlay (the Cone)
  • TP levels + MAE zones with hit rates
  • Active trade panel (win rate, confidence, profit zone)
  • Works on any NQ timeframe (1m, 5m, 15m, 1h)
  • Compatible with your existing strategy
Start 14-Day Free Trial

Frequently asked questions.

No. All signals are evaluated at bar close using barstate.isconfirmed. Entry signals cannot appear or disappear after the bar closes.
Most strategies for sale show PF above 1.8 on fewer than 200 trades over 3–5 years. At that sample size, high PFs are often noise. PF 1.45 on 2,373 trades over 16 years is statistically robust — the probability of achieving this by chance is negligible. We'd rather show you a real number on a large sample than a flashy number on a small one.
Futures use fixed-size contracts. A $649k profit is the same dollar amount whether you started with $50k or $500k — but as a percentage of your account it's very different. This is how leverage works in futures. Use the calculator to see what the strategy looks like at YOUR account size.
Any broker that supports NQ or MNQ futures trading. The strategy runs on TradingView — you execute trades on your own broker account. Popular choices include Interactive Brokers, TradeStation, and NinjaTrader (via Tradovate connection to TradingView).
Yes. TradingView alerts can be connected to webhook services (TradersPost, SignalStack, etc.) for automated execution on supported brokers. Setup documentation is provided to subscribers.
With MNQ (micro contracts at $2/point), you can run the strategy on accounts as small as $5,000–10,000. Position sizing is your decision — the signals are the same regardless of account size.
Approximately 50% of trades hold through the 16:00–16:30 CT daily maintenance break. The strategy does not close positions for the halt. If your broker handles the halt seamlessly (most do), no action is needed.
The strategy was designed and validated as a long-only system on NQ. A short strategy is in development and may be added as a future product. The long-only constraint is a deliberate design choice, not a limitation.
Not as a public track record yet. The strategy rules were frozen in September 2025. Results after that date come from running the same rules on data they had never seen (an out-of-sample backtest), not from a log of live trades.
Most US futures prop firms require positions closed by end of session. This strategy holds for an average of 22 hours. It is not compatible with firms like Apex, Topstep, or Tradeify. The Cone Indicator alone may be useful for prop firm traders with their own intraday strategy.
Your TradingView invite access is removed. You lose access to both the strategy and indicator scripts. No data is deleted — you keep any notes or trade logs you made during your subscription.
The 14-day free trial exists so you can evaluate the product before paying. After the trial, subscriptions are non-refundable for the current billing period, but you can cancel anytime to prevent future charges.

Load it. Check the numbers.
Decide for yourself.

14-day free trial. Verify every trade on TradingView. If it matches what we showed you, stay. If not, cancel.

14-day free trial. Cancel anytime.

Glossary

Profit Factor (PF)
Total gross profit divided by total gross loss. PF above 1.0 means the strategy is profitable overall. PF 1.45 means $1.45 earned for every $1.00 lost.
Max Drawdown
The largest peak-to-trough decline in equity during the backtest. A drawdown of $36,846 means at its worst point, the strategy was $36,846 below its previous high before recovering.
Per Contract
All dollar figures are for trading 1 NQ contract ($20 per point). MNQ (micro) is 1/10th the size — $2 per point. Multiply by your number of contracts to see your scenario.
NQ / MNQ
NQ is the E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures contract traded on CME. MNQ is the Micro version — same instrument, 1/10th the size. Both trade nearly 24 hours, Sunday through Friday.
Win Rate
Percentage of trades that were profitable. A 57% win rate means 57 out of every 100 trades made money. Combined with the right risk/reward ratio, this produces a positive profit factor.
Rules frozen
Results after the rules were frozen in September 2025: the same rules run on data they had never seen. An out-of-sample backtest, not a record of live trades.